Phil Wolff's 37 Sketchy 2008 Skype Predictions
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More than a dozen Rich Presence services will come to market.
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Alex Iskold: "Implicit applications, which monitor our habits and automatically infer our likes, will rise." But Skype will miss out on this, despite having enormous volumes of tremendously useful data.
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eBay will hire a leader for Skype from outside the family. Finally.
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Skype reorganizes, shakes things up. Twice.
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Small layoffs and founder departures during the year and before Xmas 2008. Again.
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Skype will publish APIs for white page directory services to their 550 million user accounts. No traction until their third major release in Q3.
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Skype will publish APIs for yellow page directory listings, promoting Skypenomics.
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Clinicians will use Skype for telemedicine.
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An executive with power will threaten to move Skype's engineering from Tallinn.
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The peak number of simultaneous users online will hit 16 million, fueled in part by iSkoot and Skypephone rollouts around the world
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A US Presidential candidate will use the word "Internets" and not know it is meant to be ironic or self deprecating.
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Skype will launch its biggest promotion ever for the Spring Festival travel season (Chunyun), bringing family webcam and voice visits to millions of Chinese who cannot move their atoms home for their Chinese New Year reunion dinner.
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eBay will have a great year as the US economy slows down.
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eBay will offer a bundle of Skype-related software, services and products. 100k PowerSellers will adopt Skype-connected CRM, IVR, and call center technologies for the first time.
- The success of Santa1to1.com's Skypecam service delivery will inspire others to offer live consulting, education, entertainment and information over Skype.
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Skype for XO, the One Laptop Per Child. -
Skype for Chumby.
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Skype for Cats.
- Three large phone companies will make/buy "Skype-killers" for their customers. One will be worthwhile.
- Skype's bizdev will land distribution deals on Lenovo and Sony laptops
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Skype and Tencent will announce a partnership or joint venture.
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March's Emerging Communications Conference, the Trillion Dollar Rethink, will revitalize and extend the defunct Emerging Telephony community.
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Tallinn will fail to execute on identity interop architectures like OpenID, OpenSocial, OAuth remaining a walled garden.
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Skype will try but fail to deliver a scalable, open web client.
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Another year without Skype-integrated email.
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Skype will not buy Jaduka.
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Pacifica, Adobe's new realtime communications stack, will let their million flash designers create their own Skype-like clients in a day. Watch flash creatives like Braintank Studios turn banner ads into conference calls. Ribbit will be Adobe's biggest evangelist for VoIM in flash.
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Someone will offer a Skype client for the 3G iPhone
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Someone will demonstrate a Skype-like Silverlight client
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Skype will try a new, dramatically improved Enterprise edition, and run smack into Microsoft FUD.
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IM translation software will triple in popularity as US companies sell with a cheap dollar.
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Skype, MySpaceIM and other IM/VoIM clients will be use in Get Out The Vote projects in the US Presidential Election. via Mark W. Johnson
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Lobbying for the future of telecom leaves Washington D.C. as U.S. telecom and cable companies spend record amounts on local and regional political campaigns and advocacy.
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Google's live communication strategy will become visible, seductive, and a growing threat to the stand-alone VoIM space where Skype lives.
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Photos of babies meeting grandparents over Skype video continue to be the most popular snapshots for "skype" on flickr.
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The top Skype extra of 2008 will blend Skype multiuser chats with blogs, bulletin boards, wikis and social networks.
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A Web 2.0 Predictions Generator will pass a Turing test.
Technorati tags: predictions08, 2008, trends, future, technology, skype, skype journal, flash, silverlight, im, myspace, myspaceim, voip, voim, flickr, braintank, ribbit, lenovo, sony, prediction, predictions



Comments
tencent with succesfull IM/VoIP QQ perfect integrated into cellphones does not need Skype. The chinese government probably does not want Skype to move further into the mainland via tom.com... One of the reasons is that they cannot easily track the forbidden words with the Skype. Most Chinese will not like to use the Skype with content control filter (built by skype and tom.com) but will go for the full 256-AES Skype encryptor... On top of that Skype and TOM.COM have ruled out any association other than TOM.COM. Meaning it's illegal to promote Skype in China...
Posted by: jan geirnaert | tropicaljantie | December 27, 2007 06:44 PM